I know that some parts of the country, namely red states, got surprised by the November election results. Who can blame them for being caught flatfooted? After all, in poll after poll after poll, a large majority of Americans say that the country is headed in the wrong directions. There is also that no small matter of the unemployment rate-we’re still stuck at around 7% unemployment. Food stamp and welfare rolls have exploded. I can go on forever, but I don’t want to get depressed. You get the picture. Things aren’t looking good at many different levels. The awesome growth of the stock market from below 7000 points to current levels has been nothing but phenomenal. Still, people on Main Street aren’t feeling the good times on Wall Street. If all the items above are true (and you know they are), why was Obama elected instead of Romney? Actually, the answers are quite simple. They aren’t surprising at all.
Incumbents are always favored
Since World War II, it was a rare event to see an incumbent president knocked off by a challenger. The last two one-term presidents were Jimmy Carter and Herbert Walker Bush. Everyone else has been a two-term president. What gives? Very simple-people don’t want to switch horses while they are crossing a stream. And what a stream America is crossing! It is easier to find hope in the current ‘recovery program’ (many Republicans would say this is nonexistent or a joke) than in trying something new, like watching Romney boil an egg or watching Jesse Ventura trying to grow his hair faster, which is possible by reading certain sites but I’m not sure Ventura even aspires it .
Romney was out of touch
Maybe if Obama was up against someone like Ronald Reagan or Dwight Eisenhowever, maybe he would have lost. Unfortunately for the Republicans, Obama, with his arguably dismal record, was up against Mitt Romney. Mitt Romney has a knack for saying the wrong things at the wrong time. His sound bite of ’47% of Americans being dependent on the government’ is just the biggest gaffe he made. He has made quite a long string of badly worded comments that soon came to bite him in the rear. Saying ‘I’d like to be able to fire people’ at a time when millions of Americans are out of work isn’t exactly going to get on these people’s good side.
The government has stepped in as the solution
Finally, any analysis of why Obama has another four years at the helm won’t be complete or honest if the 800-pound gorilla in the room isn’t acknowledged. I am, after all, talking about the large amount of Americans who now see the government as their fallback in tough economic times, times where people resort to invest savings in gold. More people are on extended unemployment insurance. More people are on welfare. More people are on food stamps. Most of them don’t even have a computer OR internet, when they do they probably have very old slow ones (which can be combated by using tips like on http://www.speed-up-pc.org and other good sites, but still). In other words, more people now look at government as the solution instead of the problem. Since much of fiscal conservatism is premised on the notion that government is the problem instead of the solution, it is easy to see why so many people were turned off by their message.
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